October 2026 Economic & Market Highlights
Market Commentary
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The CPC Team

October 2026 Economic & Market Highlights

  • US Large Cap Stocks declined 0.9%, while US Small Cap Stocks returned 0.6%, as a selloff in Al­related names drove a rotation into the broader market. The Federal Reserve held rates steady, though markets continued to price in a potential December hike.
  • Taxable Bonds returned 2.4% and Municipal Bonds gained 3.9%, as Treasury yields posted their largest monthly decline since 2023 amid a flight to safety. Attractive valuations following September's selloff drove municipals to their best October in more than four decades.
  • International Developed Stocks declined 0. 7% a ind Emerging Market Stocks fell 8.1%. Strength in Europe was offset by Al-driven losses in Southeast Asia, while emerging markets sold off on the chip decline and higher oil prices.
Source: Bloomberg - All performance is percentage change of total return
The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), commonly known as "The Dow" is an index representing 30 stock of companies maintained and reviewed by the editors of the Wall Street Journal. The Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index, which represent approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, and Far East) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the United States & Canada. The EAFE consists of the country indices of 22 developed nations. The MSCI Emerging Markets is designed to measure equity market performance in 25 emerging market indices. The index's three largest industries are materials, energy, and banks. Bloomberg US Aggregate (BBAG): The index is a measure of the investment-grade, fixed-rate, taxable bond market of roughly 6,000 SEC-registered securities with intermediate maturities averaging approximately 10 years. The index includes bonds from the Treasury, Government-Related, Corporate, MBS, ABS, and CMBS sectors. Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index: The index is a measure of the long-term tax-exempt bond market with securities of investment grade (rated at least Baa by Moody's Investors Service and BBB by Standard and Poor's). This index has four main sectors: state and local general obligation bonds, revenue bonds, insured bonds, and pre-refunded bonds.
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